Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.121468 0.142588 0.165878 0.193408 0.225002 0.260063 0.301854
2025-12-28 0.086906 0.115338 0.150199 0.195802 0.253566 0.323949 0.415812
2026-01-04 0.069702 0.101416 0.143479 0.202713 0.283219 0.387955 0.533487
2026-01-11 0.057607 0.090554 0.137206 0.207002 0.307431 0.445106 0.646103
2026-01-18 0.048232 0.081234 0.130751 0.208860 0.326931 0.496199 0.753885
2026-01-25 0.040703 0.073057 0.124244 0.208950 0.342775 0.542397 0.857695
2026-02-01 0.034249 0.065303 0.116949 0.206326 0.353416 0.580957 0.952603
2026-02-08 0.028944 0.058472 0.109964 0.202909 0.361806 0.616029 1.044241
2026-02-15 0.023956 0.051259 0.101160 0.195025 0.361544 0.636751 1.114188
2026-02-22 0.022366 0.050179 0.102999 0.205737 0.393507 0.711999 1.277651
2026-03-01 0.018988 0.044923 0.096327 0.200083 0.396019 0.737913 1.360796
2026-03-08 0.015981 0.039872 0.089280 0.192714 0.394397 0.756148 1.431651
2026-03-15 0.013613 0.035824 0.083748 0.187767 0.397077 0.782748 1.520372
2026-03-22 0.012283 0.033919 0.082412 0.191107 0.415997 0.840298 1.668988
2026-03-29 0.011386 0.032880 0.082775 0.197964 0.442412 0.913612 1.851472
2026-04-05 0.010398 0.031419 0.081970 0.202172 0.463775 0.978862 2.023373
2026-04-12 0.009374 0.029657 0.080201 0.203992 0.480260 1.035787 2.183231
2026-04-19 0.008378 0.027761 0.077818 0.204080 0.492956 1.085998 2.333249
2026-04-26 0.007370 0.025614 0.074486 0.201511 0.499543 1.124289 2.462254
2026-05-03 0.006456 0.023544 0.071025 0.198166 0.503987 1.158363 2.584900
2026-05-10 0.005483 0.021057 0.066061 0.190449 0.497624 1.169249 2.660891
2026-05-17 0.005319 0.021163 0.068179 0.200934 0.534604 1.274761 2.939097
2026-05-24 0.004604 0.019245 0.064318 0.195399 0.532941 1.296609 3.043068